Viabilidade agroeconômica da produção de feijões especiais em Goiás
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2019 |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UFG |
dARK ID: | ark:/38995/0013000006j99 |
Texto Completo: | http://repositorio.bc.ufg.br/tede/handle/tede/9517 |
Resumo: | Common bean (Phaseolus vulgaris) is one of the main crops in Brazil, since it represents an agricultural product of extreme socio-cultural importance, since it is a typical food of the Brazilian diet and an important source of protein. Common bean also has great economic relevance, being among the main crops of Brazil, with production of approximately 3 million tons in 2018, making Brazil the third largest producer in the world. Even though it is the third largest producer in the world, the bean market suffers many irregularities such as seasonal scarcity. As consequence, it is necessary to import black and white grains to meet the demand, since the bean type carioca is produced and consumed exclusively in Brazil, causing oscillations in prices. The cultivation of special bean grains in Brazil is an alternative to help regulate the market, ensuring greater supply availability, local production, and consequent reduction of price fluctuations. Besides inserting Brazil in the international bean market, considering the export potential of these grains, given its preference in several countries. In the present study, the aim was to analyze the feasibility of implementing beans cultivation in Goiás, in the third crop, and which cultivars of these grains can substitute the Rioja beans, presenting the production costs of the cultivars under study to determine if the system of production of the special beans is economically viable. Later, an investment analysis of the bean production systems was carried out, together with a risk analysis with Monte Carlo Simulation, using @RISK software, as well as the sensitivity analysis. Finally, a Portfolio analysis by the Markowitz Theory, to obtain the risk and return of each combination of grains between carioca and special, in order to show which cultivar is better for partial replacement of the carioca bean. The cultivars BRS Embaixador were economically viable. In the investment analysis the cultivar BRS Embaixador obtained an NPV of R$ 853.49 and IRR of 4%. The cultivar BRS Ártico obtained an NPV of R$ 376.72 and IRR of 2%. The cultivar BRS Executivo obtained negative NPV, showing that the investment was not viable. Portfolio analysis shows the risk and return that each combination produces, and the best combination will depend on the producer's propensity for risk. |
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Medina, Gabriel da Silvahttp://lattes.cnpq.br/4866331905231029Wander, Alcido Elenorhttp://lattes.cnpq.br/8250997651281553Medina, Gabriel da SilvaWander, Alcido ElenosFigueiredo, Reginaldo SantanaSilva, Aluísio Goularthttp://lattes.cnpq.br/0887728117509988Lima, Waleska Maria Fernandes2019-04-22T14:04:08Z2019-03-08LIMA, W. M. F. Viabilidade agroeconômica da produção de feijões especiais em Goiás. 2019. 145 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Agronegócio) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2019.http://repositorio.bc.ufg.br/tede/handle/tede/9517ark:/38995/0013000006j99Common bean (Phaseolus vulgaris) is one of the main crops in Brazil, since it represents an agricultural product of extreme socio-cultural importance, since it is a typical food of the Brazilian diet and an important source of protein. Common bean also has great economic relevance, being among the main crops of Brazil, with production of approximately 3 million tons in 2018, making Brazil the third largest producer in the world. Even though it is the third largest producer in the world, the bean market suffers many irregularities such as seasonal scarcity. As consequence, it is necessary to import black and white grains to meet the demand, since the bean type carioca is produced and consumed exclusively in Brazil, causing oscillations in prices. The cultivation of special bean grains in Brazil is an alternative to help regulate the market, ensuring greater supply availability, local production, and consequent reduction of price fluctuations. Besides inserting Brazil in the international bean market, considering the export potential of these grains, given its preference in several countries. In the present study, the aim was to analyze the feasibility of implementing beans cultivation in Goiás, in the third crop, and which cultivars of these grains can substitute the Rioja beans, presenting the production costs of the cultivars under study to determine if the system of production of the special beans is economically viable. Later, an investment analysis of the bean production systems was carried out, together with a risk analysis with Monte Carlo Simulation, using @RISK software, as well as the sensitivity analysis. Finally, a Portfolio analysis by the Markowitz Theory, to obtain the risk and return of each combination of grains between carioca and special, in order to show which cultivar is better for partial replacement of the carioca bean. The cultivars BRS Embaixador were economically viable. In the investment analysis the cultivar BRS Embaixador obtained an NPV of R$ 853.49 and IRR of 4%. The cultivar BRS Ártico obtained an NPV of R$ 376.72 and IRR of 2%. The cultivar BRS Executivo obtained negative NPV, showing that the investment was not viable. Portfolio analysis shows the risk and return that each combination produces, and the best combination will depend on the producer's propensity for risk.O feijão-comum (Phaseolus vulgaris) é um dos principais cultivos no Brasil, uma vez que representa um produto agrícola de extrema importância sociocultural, por ser um alimento típico da dieta do brasileiro e uma importante fonte de proteína. O feijoeiro comum também tem grande relevância econômica, estando entre as principais culturas do Brasil, com produção de aproximadamente 3 milhões de toneladas no ano de 2018, tornando o Brasil no terceiro maior produtor mundial. Mesmo sendo o terceiro maior produtor mundial, o mercado de feijão sofre muitas irregularidades como a escassez estacional. Como consequência é necessária a importação de grãos pretos e brancos para atender a demanda, já que o feijão tipo carioca é produzido e consumido exclusivamente no Brasil, causando oscilações nos preços. O cultivo de grãos especiais de feijão no Brasil é uma alternativa para auxiliar a regularização do mercado, assegurando maior disponibilidade de suprimento, com produção local, e consequente redução das oscilações de preços. Além de inserir o Brasil no mercado internacional de feijão, tendo em vista o potencial de exportação desses grãos, dada sua preferência em vários países. No presente estudo, buscou-se analisar se é viável a implementação do cultivo de feijão de grãos especiais em Goiás, na terceira safra, e quais cultivares desses grãos podem substituir o feijão carioca, apresentando os custos de produção das cultivares em estudo para determinar se o sistema de produção dos feijões especiais é viável economicamente. Posteriormente foi feito uma análise de investimento dos sistemas de produção de feijão e juntamente uma análise de risco com Simulação Monte Carlo, com o uso do software @RISK, além da análise de sensibilidade. E por fim, uma análise de Portfólio pela Teoria de Markowitz, para obter o risco e retorno de cada combinação de grãos entre carioca e especiais, com intuito de mostrar qual cultivar é melhor para substituição parcial do feijão carioca. Das cultivares analisadas a cultivar BRS Embaixador foi a que se mostrou viável economicamente. Na análise de investimento a cultivar BRS Embaixador obteve um VPL de R$ 853,49 e TIR de 4%. A cultivar BRS Ártico obteve um VPL de R$ 376,72 e TIR de 2%. A cultivar BRS Executivo obteve VPL negativo, mostrando não ser viável o investimento. A análise de portfólio mostra o risco e retorno que cada combinação resulta, e a melhor combinação irá depender da propensão ao risco do produtor.Submitted by Ana Caroline Costa (ana_caroline212@hotmail.com) on 2019-04-18T19:21:01Z No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Waleska Maria Fernandes Lima - 2019.pdf: 1819538 bytes, checksum: 4d17eece2cb2472a8503d648c94eca42 (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Luciana Ferreira (lucgeral@gmail.com) on 2019-04-22T14:04:08Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Waleska Maria Fernandes Lima - 2019.pdf: 1819538 bytes, checksum: 4d17eece2cb2472a8503d648c94eca42 (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5)Made available in DSpace on 2019-04-22T14:04:08Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 Dissertação - Waleska Maria Fernandes Lima - 2019.pdf: 1819538 bytes, checksum: 4d17eece2cb2472a8503d648c94eca42 (MD5) license_rdf: 0 bytes, checksum: d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e (MD5) Previous issue date: 2019-03-08application/pdfporUniversidade Federal de GoiásPrograma de Pós-graduação em Agronegócio (EA)UFGBrasilEscola de Agronomia - EA (RG)http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessFeijões especiaisViabilidade agroeconômicaAnálise de portfólioSpecial beansAgroeconomic viabilityPortfolio analysisCIENCIAS AGRARIAS::AGRONOMIAViabilidade agroeconômica da produção de feijões especiais em GoiásAgroeconomic viability of the production of special beans in Goiásinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis-2927082961882741581600600600-6046953723502374070-3091138714907603907reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFGinstname:Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG)instacron:UFGLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv |
Viabilidade agroeconômica da produção de feijões especiais em Goiás |
dc.title.alternative.eng.fl_str_mv |
Agroeconomic viability of the production of special beans in Goiás |
title |
Viabilidade agroeconômica da produção de feijões especiais em Goiás |
spellingShingle |
Viabilidade agroeconômica da produção de feijões especiais em Goiás Lima, Waleska Maria Fernandes Feijões especiais Viabilidade agroeconômica Análise de portfólio Special beans Agroeconomic viability Portfolio analysis CIENCIAS AGRARIAS::AGRONOMIA |
title_short |
Viabilidade agroeconômica da produção de feijões especiais em Goiás |
title_full |
Viabilidade agroeconômica da produção de feijões especiais em Goiás |
title_fullStr |
Viabilidade agroeconômica da produção de feijões especiais em Goiás |
title_full_unstemmed |
Viabilidade agroeconômica da produção de feijões especiais em Goiás |
title_sort |
Viabilidade agroeconômica da produção de feijões especiais em Goiás |
author |
Lima, Waleska Maria Fernandes |
author_facet |
Lima, Waleska Maria Fernandes |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Medina, Gabriel da Silva |
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/4866331905231029 |
dc.contributor.advisor-co1.fl_str_mv |
Wander, Alcido Elenor |
dc.contributor.advisor-co1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/8250997651281553 |
dc.contributor.referee1.fl_str_mv |
Medina, Gabriel da Silva |
dc.contributor.referee2.fl_str_mv |
Wander, Alcido Elenos |
dc.contributor.referee3.fl_str_mv |
Figueiredo, Reginaldo Santana |
dc.contributor.referee4.fl_str_mv |
Silva, Aluísio Goulart |
dc.contributor.authorLattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/0887728117509988 |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Lima, Waleska Maria Fernandes |
contributor_str_mv |
Medina, Gabriel da Silva Wander, Alcido Elenor Medina, Gabriel da Silva Wander, Alcido Elenos Figueiredo, Reginaldo Santana Silva, Aluísio Goulart |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Feijões especiais Viabilidade agroeconômica Análise de portfólio |
topic |
Feijões especiais Viabilidade agroeconômica Análise de portfólio Special beans Agroeconomic viability Portfolio analysis CIENCIAS AGRARIAS::AGRONOMIA |
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv |
Special beans Agroeconomic viability Portfolio analysis |
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
CIENCIAS AGRARIAS::AGRONOMIA |
description |
Common bean (Phaseolus vulgaris) is one of the main crops in Brazil, since it represents an agricultural product of extreme socio-cultural importance, since it is a typical food of the Brazilian diet and an important source of protein. Common bean also has great economic relevance, being among the main crops of Brazil, with production of approximately 3 million tons in 2018, making Brazil the third largest producer in the world. Even though it is the third largest producer in the world, the bean market suffers many irregularities such as seasonal scarcity. As consequence, it is necessary to import black and white grains to meet the demand, since the bean type carioca is produced and consumed exclusively in Brazil, causing oscillations in prices. The cultivation of special bean grains in Brazil is an alternative to help regulate the market, ensuring greater supply availability, local production, and consequent reduction of price fluctuations. Besides inserting Brazil in the international bean market, considering the export potential of these grains, given its preference in several countries. In the present study, the aim was to analyze the feasibility of implementing beans cultivation in Goiás, in the third crop, and which cultivars of these grains can substitute the Rioja beans, presenting the production costs of the cultivars under study to determine if the system of production of the special beans is economically viable. Later, an investment analysis of the bean production systems was carried out, together with a risk analysis with Monte Carlo Simulation, using @RISK software, as well as the sensitivity analysis. Finally, a Portfolio analysis by the Markowitz Theory, to obtain the risk and return of each combination of grains between carioca and special, in order to show which cultivar is better for partial replacement of the carioca bean. The cultivars BRS Embaixador were economically viable. In the investment analysis the cultivar BRS Embaixador obtained an NPV of R$ 853.49 and IRR of 4%. The cultivar BRS Ártico obtained an NPV of R$ 376.72 and IRR of 2%. The cultivar BRS Executivo obtained negative NPV, showing that the investment was not viable. Portfolio analysis shows the risk and return that each combination produces, and the best combination will depend on the producer's propensity for risk. |
publishDate |
2019 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2019-04-22T14:04:08Z |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2019-03-08 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
format |
masterThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv |
LIMA, W. M. F. Viabilidade agroeconômica da produção de feijões especiais em Goiás. 2019. 145 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Agronegócio) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2019. |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://repositorio.bc.ufg.br/tede/handle/tede/9517 |
dc.identifier.dark.fl_str_mv |
ark:/38995/0013000006j99 |
identifier_str_mv |
LIMA, W. M. F. Viabilidade agroeconômica da produção de feijões especiais em Goiás. 2019. 145 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Agronegócio) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2019. ark:/38995/0013000006j99 |
url |
http://repositorio.bc.ufg.br/tede/handle/tede/9517 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.program.fl_str_mv |
-2927082961882741581 |
dc.relation.confidence.fl_str_mv |
600 600 600 |
dc.relation.department.fl_str_mv |
-6046953723502374070 |
dc.relation.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
-3091138714907603907 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal de Goiás |
dc.publisher.program.fl_str_mv |
Programa de Pós-graduação em Agronegócio (EA) |
dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv |
UFG |
dc.publisher.country.fl_str_mv |
Brasil |
dc.publisher.department.fl_str_mv |
Escola de Agronomia - EA (RG) |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal de Goiás |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFG instname:Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG) instacron:UFG |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG) |
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UFG |
institution |
UFG |
reponame_str |
Repositório Institucional da UFG |
collection |
Repositório Institucional da UFG |
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bitstream.checksum.fl_str_mv |
bd3efa91386c1718a7f26a329fdcb468 4afdbb8c545fd630ea7db775da747b2f d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e 4d17eece2cb2472a8503d648c94eca42 |
bitstream.checksumAlgorithm.fl_str_mv |
MD5 MD5 MD5 MD5 MD5 |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Institucional da UFG - Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
tasesdissertacoes.bc@ufg.br |
_version_ |
1815172579632087040 |