Ideology, political sophistication and vote in Brazil
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2019 |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Opinião Pública (Online) |
Texto Completo: | https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8656282 |
Resumo: | The spatial theory of voting assumes that voters will cast their votes for the candidate whose policy position is closest to their own views. The goal of this paper is twofold: the first one is to test this assumption for the Brazilian presidential elections from 2002 to 2014. In order to do that we use data from the Brazilian Electoral Study along with scaling methods. The results suggest that the probability of a voter casting her vote for the candidate whose policy position is closest to her own is pretty high. The second goal of this paper is to assess if this result holds despite voters’ political sophistication. In other words, we test if ill-informed voters make their electoral decisions based on non-spatial candidate characteristics. The results contradict this idea. Politically ill-informed voters also choose the candidates whose views are closer to their own. |
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Ideology, political sophistication and vote in BrazilIdeologia, sofisticação política e voto no BrasilElectionsIdeologyPolitical sophisticationSpatial theory of the voteEleiçõesIdeologiaSofisticação políticaTeoria espacial do votoThe spatial theory of voting assumes that voters will cast their votes for the candidate whose policy position is closest to their own views. The goal of this paper is twofold: the first one is to test this assumption for the Brazilian presidential elections from 2002 to 2014. In order to do that we use data from the Brazilian Electoral Study along with scaling methods. The results suggest that the probability of a voter casting her vote for the candidate whose policy position is closest to her own is pretty high. The second goal of this paper is to assess if this result holds despite voters’ political sophistication. In other words, we test if ill-informed voters make their electoral decisions based on non-spatial candidate characteristics. The results contradict this idea. Politically ill-informed voters also choose the candidates whose views are closer to their own.A teoria espacial do voto parte do pressuposto de que eleitores diante de dois ou mais candidatos escolherão aquele que estiver mais próximo de suas preferências. O primeiro objetivo deste artigo é testar esse pressuposto para as eleições presidenciais no Brasil entre 2002 e 2014. Para isso utilizamos os dados do Estudo Eleitoral Brasileiro e as técnicas de escalonamento. Os resultados apontam que a probabilidade de um eleitor votar no candidato que está mais próximo dele do ponto de vista ideológico é extremamente alta. O segundo objetivo do artigo é verificar se esse resultado se sustenta a despeito do nível de sofisticação política do eleitor. Isto é, testamos a hipótese de que eleitores pouco informados tomariam as suas decisões a partir de elementos não espaciais (não ideológicos). Os resultados contrariam essa ideia. Eleitores pouco sofisticados do ponto de vista político também escolhem os candidatos que estão mais próximos deles.Universidade Estadual de Campinas2019-08-26info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionTextoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/otherapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8656282Opinião Pública; Vol. 25 No. 1 (2019): jan./abr.; 29-62Opinião Pública; Vol. 25 Núm. 1 (2019): jan./abr.; 29-62Opinião Pública; v. 25 n. 1 (2019): jan./abr.; 29-621807-0191reponame:Opinião Pública (Online)instname:Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)instacron:UNICAMPporhttps://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8656282/21147Brazil;2019Brasil; 2019Izumi, Mauricio Yoshida info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2019-08-26T14:08:18Zoai:ojs.periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br:article/8656282Revistahttps://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/opPUBhttps://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/oaicesop@unicamp.br||racael@unicamp.br || rop@unicamp.br1807-01910104-6276opendoar:2019-08-26T14:08:18Opinião Pública (Online) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Ideology, political sophistication and vote in Brazil Ideologia, sofisticação política e voto no Brasil |
title |
Ideology, political sophistication and vote in Brazil |
spellingShingle |
Ideology, political sophistication and vote in Brazil Izumi, Mauricio Yoshida Elections Ideology Political sophistication Spatial theory of the vote Eleições Ideologia Sofisticação política Teoria espacial do voto |
title_short |
Ideology, political sophistication and vote in Brazil |
title_full |
Ideology, political sophistication and vote in Brazil |
title_fullStr |
Ideology, political sophistication and vote in Brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Ideology, political sophistication and vote in Brazil |
title_sort |
Ideology, political sophistication and vote in Brazil |
author |
Izumi, Mauricio Yoshida |
author_facet |
Izumi, Mauricio Yoshida |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Izumi, Mauricio Yoshida |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Elections Ideology Political sophistication Spatial theory of the vote Eleições Ideologia Sofisticação política Teoria espacial do voto |
topic |
Elections Ideology Political sophistication Spatial theory of the vote Eleições Ideologia Sofisticação política Teoria espacial do voto |
description |
The spatial theory of voting assumes that voters will cast their votes for the candidate whose policy position is closest to their own views. The goal of this paper is twofold: the first one is to test this assumption for the Brazilian presidential elections from 2002 to 2014. In order to do that we use data from the Brazilian Electoral Study along with scaling methods. The results suggest that the probability of a voter casting her vote for the candidate whose policy position is closest to her own is pretty high. The second goal of this paper is to assess if this result holds despite voters’ political sophistication. In other words, we test if ill-informed voters make their electoral decisions based on non-spatial candidate characteristics. The results contradict this idea. Politically ill-informed voters also choose the candidates whose views are closer to their own. |
publishDate |
2019 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2019-08-26 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Texto info:eu-repo/semantics/other |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8656282 |
url |
https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8656282 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8656282/21147 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.coverage.none.fl_str_mv |
Brazil;2019 Brasil; 2019 |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Estadual de Campinas |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Estadual de Campinas |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Opinião Pública; Vol. 25 No. 1 (2019): jan./abr.; 29-62 Opinião Pública; Vol. 25 Núm. 1 (2019): jan./abr.; 29-62 Opinião Pública; v. 25 n. 1 (2019): jan./abr.; 29-62 1807-0191 reponame:Opinião Pública (Online) instname:Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP) instacron:UNICAMP |
instname_str |
Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP) |
instacron_str |
UNICAMP |
institution |
UNICAMP |
reponame_str |
Opinião Pública (Online) |
collection |
Opinião Pública (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Opinião Pública (Online) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
cesop@unicamp.br||racael@unicamp.br || rop@unicamp.br |
_version_ |
1800217018036649984 |